ANTSSYS

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AVERAGE DAILY RANGE AND ANTSSYS

The Average Daily Range shows the best hunting ground for current trading opportunities. This is where ANTSSYS traders gather because the trade pickings are good. Start with the top 5 pairs on this list – or those near or above 100 pips on 5 day ADR – and inspect them for compatibility with the ANTSSYS trading methods.



HOW TO USE THE AVERAGE DAILY RANGE WHEN TRADING

The average daily range is one of those concepts that captivates people who imagine all of the amazing possibilities that could be created using this tool in their trading. For example, if the price rallies to its daily range and maybe even beyond, then sell it, and vice versa. If it drops below its expected range then buy it.

Sadly, it’s not quite that simple and I am going to explain why using it purely for profit targets, is a better idea than trying to cram it into every possible trading scenario.

So why doesn’t it work for entering the market?

Well firstly, the average daily range only gives a guide on the kind of volatility that can be expected from a currency pair during the session and not how many pips (up or down) it will actually move.

The key point to bear in mind is that the average daily range has absolutely no bearing on how many pips the price will move or not during a session; these moves are driven entirely by fundamental factors.

This means that if the average daily range is 30 pips but the central bank of the country announces they will be cutting interest rates by 3% next week, you can be rest assured that the market will fall a lot more than its 30 range.

This is why you cannot reliably just buy or sell at the extremities of the daily range and expect any kind of consistent performance because anything can happen to drive the price any distance and direction at any time.

So does this mean that the ADR is useless? Far from it. It just means that any trading based on it needs to be considered a bit more carefully…

The best way to incorporate this information is to use the range as a guide for profit targets.


Symbol5-Day10-Day
AUDCAD6763
AUDCHF5356
AUDJPY8685
AUDNZD5269
AUDUSD6262
CADCHF4555
CADJPY7785
CHFJPY7376
EURAUD8693
EURCAD8797
EURCHF2330
EURGBP6563
EURJPY8093
EURNZD92112
EURUSD7776
GBPAUD153142
GBPCAD106131
GBPCHF9195
GBPJPY140145
GBPNZD150161
GBPUSD9097
NZDCAD6380
NZDCHF4957
NZDJPY7176
NZDUSD5764
USDCAD6884
USDCHF6769
USDJPY103108
Symbol5-Day10-Day
ES6458
NQ153137
YM135127
Aus 2004243
CAC7390
DAX88102
Dow 30110104
FTSE 10081100
Hang Seng178198
IBEX199216
Nasdaq 100116105
Nikkei 225328328
Russell 2000113135
S&P 5005046
Gold130142
Light Crude Oil87107
5 Day and 10 Day Average Daily Ranges. The lists can been sorted by clicking the required column header.
This allows you to hold a position and gauge the market’s reaction when it gets there, if it continues you can hold, but if it shows signs of exhaustion around those areas you can be sure that once again the volume for that particular currency has dried up at around the usual levels. Research shows that a chart will reach 75% of its ADR, 85% of the time. This gives us an incredibly high probability of a profit target being reached once in a trade.

The best way to become comfortable with this concept (as with most trading concepts) is to apply the indicator to your charts and practice. Watch the reactions that occur at these areas when they are used as profit target areas and as part of the entry decision process, rather than a simple ‘enter here’ method.

After a few weeks you will start to see the power and effectiveness of the daily range, but only when used correctly!
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