ANTSSYS

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AVERAGE DAILY RANGE AND ANTSSYS

The Average Daily Range shows the best hunting ground for current trading opportunities. This is where ANTSSYS traders gather because the trade pickings are good. Start with the top 5 pairs on this list – or those near or above 100 pips on 5 day ADR – and inspect them for compatibility with the ANTSSYS trading methods.



HOW TO USE THE AVERAGE DAILY RANGE WHEN TRADING

The average daily range is one of those concepts that captivates people who imagine all of the amazing possibilities that could be created using this tool in their trading. For example, if the price rallies to its daily range and maybe even beyond, then sell it, and vice versa. If it drops below its expected range then buy it.

Sadly, it’s not quite that simple and I am going to explain why using it purely for profit targets, is a better idea than trying to cram it into every possible trading scenario.

So why doesn’t it work for entering the market?

Well firstly, the average daily range only gives a guide on the kind of volatility that can be expected from a currency pair during the session and not how many pips (up or down) it will actually move.

The key point to bear in mind is that the average daily range has absolutely no bearing on how many pips the price will move or not during a session; these moves are driven entirely by fundamental factors.

This means that if the average daily range is 30 pips but the central bank of the country announces they will be cutting interest rates by 3% next week, you can be rest assured that the market will fall a lot more than its 30 range.

This is why you cannot reliably just buy or sell at the extremities of the daily range and expect any kind of consistent performance because anything can happen to drive the price any distance and direction at any time.

So does this mean that the ADR is useless? Far from it. It just means that any trading based on it needs to be considered a bit more carefully…

The best way to incorporate this information is to use the range as a guide for profit targets.


Symbol5-Day10-Day
AUDCAD6561
AUDCHF4847
AUDJPY5750
AUDNZD10479
AUDUSD4948
CADCHF5847
CADJPY7562
CHFJPY5753
EURAUD8790
EURCAD8775
EURCHF5046
EURGBP6666
EURJPY9083
EURNZD185149
EURUSD6765
GBPAUD118127
GBPCAD125124
GBPCHF9196
GBPJPY113119
GBPNZD198164
NZDCAD10382
NZDCHF7861
NZDJPY9070
NZDUSD7860
USDCAD7066
USDCHF6157
USDJPY6964
Symbol5-Day10-Day
ES3737
NQ140140
YM11693
Aus 2003438
CAC6055
DAX7767
Dow 307568
Hang Seng247241
IBEX221199
Nasdaq 10093112
Nikkei 225323257
Russell 200010891
S&P 5002931
Gold144128
Light Crude Oil96105
5 Day and 10 Day Average Daily Ranges. The lists can been sorted by clicking the required column header.
This allows you to hold a position and gauge the market’s reaction when it gets there, if it continues you can hold, but if it shows signs of exhaustion around those areas you can be sure that once again the volume for that particular currency has dried up at around the usual levels. Research shows that a chart will reach 75% of its ADR, 85% of the time. This gives us an incredibly high probability of a profit target being reached once in a trade.

The best way to become comfortable with this concept (as with most trading concepts) is to apply the indicator to your charts and practice. Watch the reactions that occur at these areas when they are used as profit target areas and as part of the entry decision process, rather than a simple ‘enter here’ method.

After a few weeks you will start to see the power and effectiveness of the daily range, but only when used correctly!
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